Under Pressure From Trump, the Peace Negotiation Table Is Looming Between Russia and Ukraine, but Russia Will Be the Big Loser in This War.
Russia's economy will take decades to recover from Putin's special military operation.
In October 2024, I reported on the state of the Russian economy after more than two and a half years of war in Ukraine. I explained that the Russian economy probably had only one year of war left. A withdrawal from Ukraine was inevitable. Some people have since told me in comments that I was wrong and that Donald Trump's victory in the November 2024 US presidential election is a game-changer in Vladimir Putin's favor.
I totally agree on the second point. Putin had only one hope of emerging from this war in Ukraine with his head held high: a Donald Trump victory.
Everyone knows that Donald Trump loves to present himself as being able to find deals where others have failed. It's a safe bet that he's forcing Ukraine to accept conditions favorable to Russia that would allow Putin to stop this war by coming out on top. This would mean that Zelensky's Ukraine would have to give up the Ukrainian regions occupied by Putin's Russia.
This would be disastrous for the future between Ukraine and Russia, but faced with the pressure of the end of American financial support for Ukraine, Zelensky will probably have no choice but to bow to Donald Trump's wishes to find a deal quickly.
Such a peace plan would enable Vladimir Putin to give the impression that he is coming out of this war a big winner. But once again, this will only be an illusion, because in economic terms, what awaits the Russian economy in the years to come is a veritable disaster.
I'll explain all this in detail in the rest of this article.
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