Sylvain Saurel’s Newsletter

Sylvain Saurel’s Newsletter

The Unprecedented Crisis: Why the Federal Reserve Is Facing Its Own Extinction.

The Fed is now confronting a seismic shift, a structural break unlike anything in its 110-year history. The twin pillars of its mandate are about to be shattered.

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Sylvain Saurel
Nov 01, 2025
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For over a century, the Federal Reserve has stood as the invisible, omnipotent force shaping the American economy. Its mandate, deceptively simple, is to maintain stable prices and maximum employment. Through recessions, wars, and financial manias, its playbook has remained relatively consistent: adjust interest rates, manage the money supply, and, when necessary, provide liquidity to ensure the machinery of commerce—powered by human labor—keeps turning.

But the Fed is now confronting a seismic shift, a structural break unlike anything in its 110-year history. The twin pillars of its mandate are about to be shattered by a force its models cannot comprehend and its tools cannot control.

The first pillar, manufacturing employment, was pulverized by globalization. The second, the service-sector employment that replaced it, is about to be annihilated by Artificial Intelligence. What remains is a central bank staring into an abyss, facing a future where “maximum employment” is a meaningless concept. The Fed is in deep trouble, and its only path forward will transform America into a society stratified beyond recognition, managed by surveillance, and fueled by a digital breadline.


The Crypto Remake: How America Is Engineering Its Next Financial Century.

Sylvain Saurel
·
Oct 31
The Crypto Remake: How America Is Engineering Its Next Financial Century.

History doesn’t just rhyme; it echoes. And today, in 2025, the financial corridors of Washington are echoing with the ghosts of 1971.

Read full story

Part 1: The First Wave – The Hollowing Out

To understand the crisis of tomorrow, we must first understand the devastating precedent set three decades ago. In the 1990s, riding a wave of post-Cold War triumphalism, America led the charge to open the Western liberal market to China. The theory was one of convergence; by welcoming China into the global market, it would inevitably become more like the West.

The economic reality was brutally different.

For the first time, a disciplined, state-driven workforce of hundreds of millions was integrated into the global supply chain. Hardworking Chinese people, eager to escape rural poverty, flooded into new factory cities. With labor costs at a fraction of the West’s, unfettered by stringent regulations, and fueled by a national will to dominate, China became the world’s factory within a decade.

For corporate America, the logic was irresistible. Why pay an American worker $30 an hour plus benefits when you could get the same product manufactured for one-tenth of the cost?

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